{"sample":true,"delay_note":"Free sample, at least 2 hours old. Live forecast: /api/v1/forecast ($0.02)","forecast_id":19,"as_of":"2026-10-11T23:00:00Z","model":"Kronos-small","venue":"Coinbase","symbol":"BTC-USD","prob_up":0.867,"sampling":{"T":1,"seed":42,"paths":30,"top_p":0.9},"direction":"UP","timeframe":"1h","confidence":"MEDIUM","disclaimer":"Probabilistic model output for research and education. Not financial advice. Past results do not guarantee future results.","last_close":83678.29,"asset_class":"crypto","band_80_pct":[-0.082,1.282],"data_source":"Coinbase Exchange public candles (closed bars only)","horizon_end":"2026-10-12T23:00:00Z","context_bars":360,"generated_at":"2026-10-12T00:07:45Z","horizon_bars":24,"expected_range":[83610.04,84751.2],"band_calibrated":false,"confidence_rule":"v1: single model (Kronos-small). MEDIUM if |prob_up-0.5|>=0.3, else LOW. HIGH is disabled until calibration.","calibration_note":"80% band is raw model spread, not yet checked against outcomes. Treat as uncalibrated.","expected_move_pct":0.887,"invalidation_level":82836.79,"hist_vol_over_horizon_pct":1.337}